Mirrored from the official Polymarket binary market will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027.
- Condition ID
- 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
Resolves YES iff the exact underlying Polymarket binary market resolves YES via Polymarket's official UMA resolution flow.
Resolves NO iff that Polymarket market resolves NO.
If Polymarket resolution is ambiguous, disputed, 50/50, or unavailable, this market remains pending for admin review.
Polymarket criteria excerpt: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.