Mirrored from the official Polymarket binary market kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-june-30-561-854.
- Condition ID
- 0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e
Resolves YES iff the exact underlying Polymarket binary market resolves YES via Polymarket's official UMA resolution flow.
Resolves NO iff that Polymarket market resolves NO.
If Polymarket resolution is ambiguous, disputed, 50/50, or unavailable, this market remains pending for admin review.
Polymarket criteria excerpt: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.