Mirrored from the official Polymarket binary market israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-15-687-594-783-732-455-613-653.
- Condition ID
- 0xd8664606498aba2a8ccab56656860cb3f02d74de80e974ab87a9f940e65d4d5e
Resolves YES iff the exact underlying Polymarket binary market resolves YES via Polymarket's official UMA resolution flow.
Resolves NO iff that Polymarket market resolves NO.
If Polymarket resolution is ambiguous, disputed, 50/50, or unavailable, this market remains pending for admin review.
Polymarket criteria excerpt: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.