Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Resolves YES iff the exact underlying Polymarket binary market resolves YES via Polymarket's official UMA resolution flow. Resolves NO iff that Polymarket market resolves NO. If Polymarket resolution is ambiguous, disputed, 50/50, or unavailable, this market remains pending for admin review. Polymarket criteria excerpt: A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).