Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Resolves YES iff the exact underlying Polymarket binary market resolves YES via Polymarket's official UMA resolution flow. Resolves NO iff that Polymarket market resolves NO. If Polymarket resolution is ambiguous, disputed, 50/50, or unavailable, this market remains pending for admin review. Polymarket criteria excerpt: This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.